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$2 NLHE Full Ring: Do I really have to fold here? Ugh
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[QUOTE="fundiver199, post: 5990538, member: 397965"] Preflop Like the 3-bet and the relatively small sizing as well, since you did not start with a full stack. Flop C-bet is fine, but in a 3-bet pot you dont always need to go so big. Unless you jam the turn, you are going to need to size down, and its often better to bet roughly the same size on each street or even size up on the turn. Turn Flush comes in and with all the high flush cards available for him to have other than Js, this is not exactly great. You still beat QQ, AJ, QT, T8 though, so I still like a bet for value. You cant blast it, but maybe bet something like 15BB and probably fold, if he check-jam it in your face. River This action is pretty gross, and the first thing, you need to ask yourself, is does he ever do this for value with a hand worse than yours like QQ or AJ? And I think, the answer is no, unless he is some crazy maniac. Those hands either check or go for a small bet. So his range is polarized between hands, that you lose to, and then maybe some bluffs. Is this a good situation to bluff catch then? First looking at your hand you dont really have any great blockers. It would be good to have Ks, because that would block some of the flush combos, which are his most obvious value jam. It would also be better to have a J, because then he is less likely to have hands like JJ or J9. So if you are going to select some of your one pair hands to fold, this is actually a good candidate to go in the muck. The next thing is, what is he bluffing with? And I cant really come up with any good answers. Flush got there on the turn. QT got there on the river. T8 made a pair. There are no busted draws really, and typically these are the hands, people turn into bluffs. Here your flop sizing also matter, because when you bet 75% pot, he need to have something pretty good to continue. He is probably not floating you out of position with a hand like AQ for just two overs. Which mean he also cant have it on the river and use it to bluff you. Finally you are obviously not getting a good price. You need to be good almost 40% of the time, so he need to be bluffing fairly often for this to be a profitable call. So all in all if you do a bit of hand reading here, and if you dont have any particular history with this player, I think, you can let this hand go facing an overbet jam. Its different, if he used a smaller sizing, because then he could absolutely be betting a worse hand than yours for value. [/QUOTE]
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$2 NLHE Full Ring: Do I really have to fold here? Ugh
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