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$2 NLHE 6-max: Zoom: Is this a good bluff spot?
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[QUOTE="c0rnBr34d, post: 5899579, member: 394557"] You really have lots of trips here? What does your 3B range vs CO look like? I see here that JTo is in there but it sounds like (if you have lots of trips) then at least 98s and T9s are in there too. Seems really wide. I suspect you'd have to divide the range up into calls and 3Bs otherwise you'd be 3 betting 26%+ which doesn't seem profitable. While we are uncapped and V is not, I would imagine V has more trips and we should have a similar amount of 88. After that the smaller cards probably favor the CO. We should have more overpairs and we can possibly play them like this but that's the only clear range advantage that jumps out at first glance. Second point. I think most hands that want to triple barrel here would size up turn when the flush draw comes in. Going small, medium, large may look a little bluffy to some. Third point. From limited bluff combo materials I've seen this hand is not ideal because we block straight draws and club draws that we want our V to have. I get that we don't have showdown value and we want to bluff more rivers in these situations but again, I don't see how we can be profitable if we bluff them all unless our Vs are over folding. Last point. Echoing what Sidetracked mentioned. Some of the most common mistakes at 2NL are overcalling mediocre hands so being balanced could actually cost us some EV if the population calls too often. Even laster point after reading your second post. If your query is just fold % when Hero bets pot on the river it's probably not a fair estimate. I would look at fold % in 3B pots where Hero is OOP and the flop is paired and connected with no flush draw. Then look how often Vs are calling down triple barrels light. How often the turn is called but the river is folded, etc. The sample is probably too small to have much value, but that's kind of the point. Not all situations are the same, so I wouldn't put too much stock in that 60% figure. [/QUOTE]
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$2 NLHE 6-max: Zoom: Is this a good bluff spot?
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