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$2 NLHE 6-max: Good call odd math? A2s in 3 bet pot
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[QUOTE="MidnightSleepless, post: 5774060, member: 430293"] Preflop: I’m not a fan of calling the 3 bet from the SB with A2s. You only have 2 hands on him so his stats don’t mean much at this moment in time. I’m a bigger fan of 4 bet bluffing or folding (especially with button left to act) playing a large multi way pot OOP not hugely comfortable with – but you called so we move on. Flop: SB defiantly has all the over pairs and quite a few AQ+ type hands. I wouldn’t expect to see him with a set of Jacks very often (probably not in his 3 betting range vs UTG open) SB bets basically pot in this flop. You have 9 outs to the flush and 3 to the A (although this may not be good quite a bit of the time) – also to consider Qc or Kc may also be very bad for you. So potentially only 7 clean outs. Again with one person left to act I’m not sure I like this call. BTN could defiantly have a Jack and would likely call this bet Turn: Sb shoves for 2/3rds pot and you call Your hand has not changed since the flop although now you have less chance of hitting those 7-12 outs. Best case scenario you have 12 outs so need to be good about 25% of the time. Worst case scenario you have 7 outs so need to be good about 15% of the time Absolute worse case scenario your already dead to JJ The river shove (and your effective stack size) gives you 26% pot odds. So not quite the right price for the best case scenario and nowhere close for the worst case. I feel in general, across the 3 streets, this type of line will be losing you money in the long run. Hope that helps [/QUOTE]
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$2 NLHE 6-max: Good call odd math? A2s in 3 bet pot
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