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Poker Strategy
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Cash Game Hand Analysis
$100 NLHE Full Ring: Turning Pocket Aces into a Bluff on the river...interesting hand scenario
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[QUOTE="gustav197poker, post: 5984312, member: 393841"] Regarding the UTG hand opener, if this player opens with Q7s, he is opening more than half of the combos suits from that position. This is not a problem, as long as UTG can expand its fold equity range and provide it for its wide opening range. For example: UTG must be willing to fold more times his top pair of queens, with respect to the times that he has the same hand but with a better kicker, etc. When SB calls, UTG only pays for the implied odds, but it is still a very thin call and I am more in agreement with fold preflop. As for the villains CO and SB, their calls on pre are marginal. For example, a super aggressive villain from UTG might jam a random hand like JTo with the aim of knocking down these players and isolating himself with HJ's wide range, when he thinks his worst result is a coin toss against this player. The times that he think HJ has a 3-bet range with low-medium pockets like 22-99. Regarding postflop actions, the SB line from the flop seems reasonable to me, and possibly all the players involved had an automatic click, given the proposed size. UTG didn't raise because he thought he didn't have fold equity on this texture, but that's a misperception, as the table has a lot of draws and he could easily represent the best ones, given his opener position. On the turn, in my opinion, you can see more clearly the mistakes made by the players, in the previous stages of the hand. SB's bet is very small, but given the texture of the board it could be interpreted that he is inducing raises to obtain value from dominated hands. UTG's call now goes fringe and HJ's call makes sense when he's willing to turn his hand into a bluff. Of course in a 4-way pot this gets a bit unbalanced, but from an exploitative perspective calling here allows for equally unbalanced folds when HJ assumes that the villains play too many hands in their ranges (as actually happened). The 9d OTR is the street that HJ more needs for his bluff range. Obviously against balanced players, this is a negative of 100% EV bluff, since in this instance only stronger hands of bluffs and values will have continued for this board texture. Greetings. [/QUOTE]
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$100 NLHE Full Ring: Turning Pocket Aces into a Bluff on the river...interesting hand scenario
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