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$10 NLHE Full Ring: TPTK against river shove
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[QUOTE="fundiver199, post: 6133173, member: 397965"] Preflop Pretty standard to raise to this size over someone, who have posted. Flop Its a very dry paired board, so as others have said, I would not go for this very large bet size. There are no draws for you to worry about, and when you make this very large bet, you are mostly getting value from his worse AX hands, whereas a lot of other hands have an easy fold. Stack protection is also a bit of a consideration here, since he can absolutely have a 5 in his range after posting and then calling your raise. Turn When he has called your large flop bet, we can pretty much narrow his range down to AX, 5X or maybe a sticky pocket pair. He is not still in there with KJ or J9 or 98 for absolutely nothing. And when you bet very large again, you start to create a situation, where you might not be in great shape against the hands, he continue with. So I would size smaller here, and you could even consider checking back. River His donk shove can look a little bluffy, but its difficult for me to see, which hands he get to the river with, that need to bluff? If his range after calling flop and turn are mainly AX and 5X, then he cant suddenly have QJ on the river and use it as a bluff. And I dont think, a fishy player is ever taking his A4 and turning it into a bluff. With that kind of hand he will just check to you again and hope, you check back. So I think, you are beat here, and I agree with your decision to fold. Conclusion It sucks not to get to showdown with TPTK, but this is, what happen, when you build to large a pot. If you had kept the pot smaller, you would have kept his range wider, and then his river donk bet would most likely also have come in smaller. In which case it would be much more reasonable to lock him up and see, what he had. Or if he still jammed, it would be a massive overbet giving him much worse risk/reward on a bluff, and allowing you to lose less, when you fold. [/QUOTE]
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$10 NLHE Full Ring: TPTK against river shove
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