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Message: [QUOTE="TLRoyalFlush, post: 5834477, member: 446929"] [b]Pacific Poker - $0.10 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 5 players[/b] BTN: 193.5 BB SB: 100 BB [b]Hero (BB): 104.4 BB[/b] UTG: 111.5 BB CO: 125.5 BB SB posts SB 0.5 BB, [b]Hero[/b] posts BB 1 BB [b]Pre Flop:[/b] [i](pot: 1.5 BB)[/i] [b]Hero[/b] has 5:diamond: 5:spade: [i]fold[/i], [i]fold[/i], [color=red]BTN raises to 2.5 BB[/color], [i]fold[/i], [b]Hero[/b] calls 1.5 BB [b]Flop:[/b] [i](5.5 BB, 2 players)[/i] 7:diamond: J:diamond: 3:diamond: [b]Hero[/b] checks, [color=red]BTN bets 4 BB[/color], [b]Hero[/b] calls 4 BB [b]Turn:[/b] [i](13.5 BB, 2 players)[/i] 5:club: [color=red][b]Hero[/b] bets 10 BB[/color], BTN calls 10 BB [b]River:[/b] [i](33.5 BB, 2 players)[/i] 8:diamond: [b]Hero[/b] checks, [color=red]BTN bets 60 BB[/color], [i]fold[/i] BTN wins 31.9 BB 1) Should I be 3betting vs btn steal in this situation? Assuming he has a very wide range (50%+ from the button if he's 30% VPIP?) I can probably expect to get folds from 60% of his btn steal range? My 55 vs his continuing range (top 20% of hands) is then 46.28%. Since I would have raised 3x to 75c to win 30c, i need to win over 70% to be +EV. Given the above assumptions I would take down the pot 60% of the time or have 46.28% equity vs 40% of his range meaning I would win a total of 78.5% of the time, making this play EV. Is this correct thinking? 2) Happy with check calling the flop, he could be one and done with non diamond hands or have a high pair against which I still have 38% equity. 3) Im still unsure about donking the turn - I didn't want to risk him checking back with a higher diamond to get a free draw, and feel i could get value off a high pair that might have resisted a turn bet. But then again these hands may well have bet if checked to to which I could have raised. 4) When the diamond comes on the river, it seems like he's only betting here with hands that beat me (a higher diamond) or he's turned his hand into a bluff? Would he really be betting here with a high pair / straight / two pair that I beat? Given the vast quantity of hands with higher diamonds in his range, it seems unlikely that there is enough bluffs (over 40% given the pot odds) to make the call +EV. Any feedback would be great! [/QUOTE]

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