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Message: [QUOTE="TLRoyalFlush, post: 5834409, member: 446929"] [b]Pacific Poker - $0.10 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 5 players[/b] UTG: 138 BB [b]Hero (CO): 100 BB[/b] BTN: 155.3 BB SB: 118.9 BB BB: 164.6 BB SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB [b]Pre Flop:[/b] [i](pot: 1.5 BB)[/i] [b]Hero[/b] has A:club: 5:club: [i]fold[/i], [color=red][b]Hero[/b] raises to 3 BB[/color], [i]fold[/i], SB calls 2.5 BB, [i]fold[/i] [b]Flop:[/b] [i](7 BB, 2 players)[/i] 2:diamond: 3:heart: A:heart: SB checks, [color=red][b]Hero[/b] bets 4.6 BB[/color], SB calls 4.6 BB [b]Turn:[/b] [i](16.2 BB, 2 players)[/i] Q:club: SB checks, [color=red][b]Hero[/b] bets 8.1 BB[/color], SB calls 8.1 BB [b]River:[/b] [i](32.4 BB, 2 players)[/i] 7:club: SB checks, [color=red][b]Hero[/b] bets 10.6 BB[/color], [color=red]SB raises to 31.8 BB[/color], [i]fold[/i] SB wins 51 BB My HUD only had stats for 8 hands so I don't think they can be used and i was new to the table so had no reads. What are your thoughts here? Flop and turn i'm happy with - can be getting value from flush draws, pairs like 55 - 88(assuming higher pairs would have 3bet pre), a queen if floated the flop. I went for a thin value bet on the river hoping to get looked up by a queen or low pair, looking back I feel like this may have been a bit optimistic considering I'd barrelled three times, and can just get looked up by a higher ace or even two pair. But when he check raises the river, I thought his range would have been a set, 45s, or a busted flush draw (doesn't seem like anything else would make sense here?). In terms of combos there are 3 of 45s, 9 combos of sets (22, 33, 77), and a fair amount of heart suited connecters or one gappers. Mathematically, I need to call $2.18 to win $7.48 so I have to be right around 20% of the time to be +EV, which would require him to have at least 3 combos of busted flush draws. Thus, should I have called the raise given that he definitely has more than 3 combos of busted flush draws in his range? Any help would be great, Cheers [/QUOTE]

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