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Message: [QUOTE="EarnDAStack, post: 6247153, member: 373435"] Yeah exactly, so in this case you would have a few things working against you, First off a MP open and a CO 3-Bet is a strong formation, the only stronger formation is a EP open and MP 3-Bet. The BTN call only complicates the situation because it's not really something that is done in the overall meta so making assumptions on his range can be dangerous. Secondly CO's 7.5bb 3-Bet range vs a 2bb open in theory is supposed to be stronger than his range vs a 2.5bb open because you're risking more money to win less. Thirdly as you said if people are playing tighter than optimal everything kind of gets shifted up the hand matrix, people will have less bluffs and more value making your marginal hands worth less against their stronger range. And lastly would be the effect of rake at 10 NL compared to the 50NL sims I used to look at your hand. While not necessarily relevant in this hand high rake will drop the values of all of our hands compared to sims that have been ran for a lower rake structure. (Also the preflop sims I looked at used a 6bb MP 3-Bet which I'm not totally sure how it would react with your hand in theory, it might make your squeeze more profitable because there is more money in the pot or with a 7.5bb size GTOWizard might 3-Bet a tighter range then it does in the sim I looked at) One of the difficult things I've found at the lower stakes is some people have a somewhat reasonable approach to playing their hands and other people just do weird stuff lol, only half of the GTOWizard sims even had the spot the rest didn't have a BTN flat I don't think because it's not really a strong strategy to employ. You should spend some time on GTOWizard it's a pretty cool app and all their preflop sims are free. I just started trying to work from a more theory based approach tho, some of this might be wrong but it's how I viewed things from my current understanding. [/QUOTE]

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