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Poker Strategy
Cash Games
Cash Game Hand Analysis
$10 NL HE 6-max: Str vs. Suspected FH on River
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[QUOTE="fundiver199, post: 6922775, member: 397965"] Preflop Standard open. Blind vs. blind your sizing is on the small side. Flop I would also check-call. You likely have the best hand, but its not a 3-street hand, and there are not that many turn cards, which are bad for you. So you dont mind it, if the flop goes check-check, and if he bet, you can easily call. Turn Check-raise and sizing looks good. You could potentially be losing to AK, but I think, that hand mainly 3-bet pre, so I am not to worried about it. River Pretty ugly river card, and I agree with checking. I do think, its a very clear check-call though. If we think about the previous actions, then he just called preflop, and would 99-QQ not mostly 3-bet? I think so, so I will remove those from his range almost entirely, unless he is very passive (HUD-stats are usefull here). QT, JT and T9 would likely play like this preflop. They should all check back flop except maybe QT, but its certainly possible, he would have bet them. On the turn however two pair should not bet with any K or 8 now having a straight, and they should certainly never call a big raise. So its one of those, that if he really did that, he need to get paid, when he hit a 4-outer on the river. You are also getting 3:1, so you only need to win 25% of the time or chop 50%. And he could have a busted flushdraw. Considering the action on the previous streets it actually makes much more sense for him to have a busted flushdraw than anything, which ended up being a boat. Results Once again you are very results oriented. You played the hand perfectly fine, while your opponent made significant mistakes on the flop and especially the turn, but ended up getting saved by a very lucky runout. Thats exactly, what we want, since he wont hit that miracle runner-runner very often at all. [/QUOTE]
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$10 NL HE 6-max: Str vs. Suspected FH on River
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