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$10 NL HE 6-max: KTo Fold vs Value-Bet?
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[QUOTE="Aballinamion, post: 6670922, member: 289533"] Preflop: do you believe villain is raising some kind of decent range or do you believe villain is trying to steal using a chunk of bad hands? Let’s consider these ideas into our following analysis. Preflop villain raises and we must know if it is opening a weak or a strong range. If SB steals too often, a 3-bet is mandatory. If SB opens a decent range we can mix between 3-betting and calling for KT is a strong hand with removal and playability postflop: plus we have position. The flop comes good in both cases: if villain is opening trash we bet to extract now of his dominated range and if villain is opening a decent range all the same, we bet to charge draws and losing hands. I don’t see the point of checking here, we would check this flop if we do had KQ, K7, Q7, or maybe a flopped set, but our hand is fragile here, so we should be betting more than checking. On the turn SB bets and it has lots of bluffs that could be doing it, so raising here isn’t a bad idea. KT isn’t a weak hand in this particular spot. If villain was raising from CO, we could say KT is weak, but considering stats is much likely that villain has a stealing range of SB x BB. On the river there aren’t much bluffs on SB’s range, but given price we must call it. SB could be forcing a fold or trying to extract value of our losing hands. These stats you provided are good, it seems that SB is a decent player, but most important is how often SB steals versus BB preflop: our decision making postflop relies on this information. [/QUOTE]
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$10 NL HE 6-max: KTo Fold vs Value-Bet?
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