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Poker Strategy
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$10 NL HE 6-max: All In with a Gutshot on the Turn
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[QUOTE="fundiver199, post: 6970555, member: 397965"] Preflop Your 3-bet is far to small. You go less than 2,5X, which price him in to call in position with his entire range. So all, this does, is massage the pot larger, when you are out of position with a hand, which is somewhat tough to play postflop. Either go 4X ($1,0) or just call and see a cheap flop. If you use a HUD, and he is nitty, you could even just fold here. AJ is not exactly a monster, and you have the worst seat. Flop Now you are betting to much. Both 3-bet pots and paired boards generally call for small bet sizing on the flop. Turn You did pick up 4 more outs to a straight, which is normally a good situation to continue. However in this particular situation, because you went so big on the flop, you need to ask yourself, what he called you with on the flop, that is going to fold now? If he had a small pair like 22-88, he likely folded it already on the flop. So you are trying to get him off specifically AT or KT, which is a pretty thin range to target. You also dont want to get raised, so I would check and hope, he check behind or give you a price, you can call. As played its a snap fold, when he jam. You are not getting the odds to draw, and you could be drawing dead already. You say, there are many draws, he could be bluffing with. But you have shown a ton of strength, and the board is paired, so if he is on a draw, he is more likely to consider folding rather than jamming. Moreover KJ is already a straight, and if he is turning hands like J9 or JT into a bluff, then you are actually losing to those bluffs. And you block AX of diamonds, which would be his most logical and common draw other than JX. [/QUOTE]
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$10 NL HE 6-max: All In with a Gutshot on the Turn
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