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Dara O'Kearney (Satellite Specialist) - Ask Me Anything about satellites/knockouts
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[QUOTE="Dara OKearney, post: 5278939, member: 390655"] Hi, again apologies for the delay replying, I was giving the WSOP my full attention. This is an interesting spot. With the one big blind stack being so short, it's almost the same as a bubble spot. These are spots where you are supposed to shove super wide in theory, but can only do so in practise if the players you shove into are playing optimally (and most crucially know how tight they have to call off). In theory, you can shove any two here, because the BB is supposed to fold 96.8% of the time (he needs 88+ to call). If you run the numbers your actual hand makes little or no difference: shoving 22 makes you 6.06% of the value of a seat long term, shoving aces is only worth an extra 2% or so, and shoving 72o makes you 5.92% This illustrates that your actual hand makes little or no difference: the crucial thing is the bb calling range. Let's imagine he's not very ICM aware and is going to call off 44+, Ax, K6, Q6s, Q8o, JTo, J8s, T9s. Suddenly we can only shove 9.5% of hands, 88+ A8s+ A9o+, and shoving 22 loses us over 4% of the value of the prize. There's an entire section in "Poker Satellite Strategy" we call "Adjusting for imperfections" on these types of adjustments you have to make: they make a massive difference to your bottom line in satellites. Thanks for the question! [/QUOTE]
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Dara O'Kearney (Satellite Specialist) - Ask Me Anything about satellites/knockouts
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