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$Freeroll NL HE MTT: Top Pair Top Kicker on wet board. How to avoid getting drawn out?
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[QUOTE="ipagan, post: 6517854, member: 1007112"] What was your position on this tournament at this moment? I see that your stack is not the bigges here and why[B] just no to push this hand?[/B] Probably he would not call it with 10-8 hand. In smaller stack it is really an option just to push and not get yourself into the flop when your any bet makes it almost all-in and your opp could take his chances with "any two". [B]The second option[/B] with small stack for me is to raise pre-flop like you did and then if you hit a pair just push on the flop. I have top pair + top kicker and some backdoor nuts flush chance. I would not be afraid of potential straights, because much more often he would NOT get into thema anyway. The same thought is about potential flushes in opps hands. I have ablocker on A suited, so he can have KQ KJ K10 K7 QJ Q10 J10 Q7 J7 (more likely, then J2 I suppose). It's like only 9 combinations, KQ and KJ he could 3bet on pre-flop (if he does so of course), so it's even less then 9. And on the other hand he can have tons of ofsuited hands like A-high K-high. So it's 9 suited combos versus tons of ofsuited. So I would not be afraid of potential flush. Yes, of course he can have flush draw hand, but my point is that we are playing against range and in his range there are much more likely to see ofsuited hand, then suited. So if I push here, I will not be afraid of potential flush. The only thing to afraid here are pocket pairs 99 88 or KK AA. Again, AA KK he probably want to 3-bet on pre-flop. But again how much combos of 88 99 it could be versus other "any two" hands? My point here, that the equity of this hand on flop is something like 60-70% probably, what is enough for me just to push with low stack. We know his hand and a reasonable question is - would he call with gutshot? We can't say for sure of course, but I would not if I were on his place, because it's only 8% chance to get your J on the board, right? :) Plus, from his perspective I would think that you have QQ or AQ/AQs or at least AK AJ etc suited and my chances versus your chances would be way worst. So I would not call all-in on flop. Anyway in the line you chose (and probably some time I play the same way), I would check turn and fold on a big bet. Simple logic for me here - I was ahead and had a strong hand on the flop, but on the turn I became very vulnerable since it's only 1 card for the straight and opp's range have a lot of tens, like really a lot and I would just be happy check out until the showdown. That's one of the reasons I think about pushing and don't let your opponent realize his chances. [USER=397965]@fundiver199[/USER] very well said! [/QUOTE]
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$Freeroll NL HE MTT: Top Pair Top Kicker on wet board. How to avoid getting drawn out?
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