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Poker Strategy
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Tournament Hand Analysis
$Freeroll NL HE MTT: Top pair versus flush draws
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[QUOTE="300HPGOD, post: 6403455, member: 305911"] I wouldnt be looking pre flop to fold K10 off on the button when folded to me near the bubble of a tourney so the options really are min raise or jam. You dont mention what the SBs stack is which is important in this spot along with player tendencies of each. If they are both tight then obviously we can just min raise here with any two and its +EV. Without knowing those I think jamming is fine and Im sure its +EV over the long run but I am not sure its better than min raising. I personally would min raise here and most likely be folding to a jam. On the flop I would feel good about my hand but I dont understand the min bet here into a pot that would be a little bit more than 2k. We want to charge/get value from draws so I think basically a 35-40% pot bet will do it since villain given their stack size and where we are in relation to the bubble should not be floating too much. Although I do think they will float to a min bet as they could easily deem that to look suspicious. When villain jams it is a spot where Id be swearing at myself but once I calmed down we have to range them. Not sure anything about this opponent but knowing its a freeroll I would think there would be less traps and a really big pre flop hand would have jammed over you pre. That leaves Kx, 8x, 7x and draws and I guess some random bluffs although I dont think there are too many if any of those. (have to estimate this since not sure 4200 in chips is after they call your pre flop raise or when the hand starts) You are getting roughly 1.8 to 1 (again that can easily be wrong but trying to go off what you wrote and estimating antes) so you need about 36% equity against that range which you have so if I am ranging them correctly then this is a call as you did. [/QUOTE]
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$Freeroll NL HE MTT: Top pair versus flush draws
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