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Poker Strategy
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Tournament Hand Analysis
$55 dollar NL HE MTT: Power path last step
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[QUOTE="fundiver199, post: 7133460, member: 397965"] Preflop Typically I am not crazy about calling with a hand like this, or calling anything, when the original raiser is only sitting on 18BB. But you cant really 3-bet here with a bigger stack behind you, and your hand is not really strong enough either. So I guess, this is ok, but you could also simply fold. Flop You flopped top pair and an OESD, and this is 100% a call. Of course we are not folding, but if you raise, you get into a situation, where most worse hands fold, and most better hands continue, so raising does not really accomplish anything. Turn Now you have trips, and this actually matter, because it reduce the chance, he has you outkicked or flopped two pair with QT/Q9, and you beat AA, KK and T9 now. He bet the same size as on the flop, and this just scream weakness, so now my mindset has shifted to definitely having the best hand, and how can I get him to put the rest of his chips into this pot. If you call, pot will be 18k, and he only has 14k left behind. There is a flushdraw on the board, and for that reason I think, the best play is to jam and make it a 2 street hand. Even if he is somehow slowplaying a straight, you have 10 outs now to a boat, so you are only in really bad shape, if he has AQ/KQ or a boat already. Which is very unlikely, since there is only one unseen Q left in the deck, and why would he bet so small, if he had AQ/KQ and just improved to trips on a wet board. River Now the flushdraw completed, and he checks again. I think, its quite unlikely, anything stronger than your hand play this way, although there is always some risk, the opponent is sandbagging something and trying to trap us. But all in all I think, its far more likely, he has a hand like AK/AJ/AT, that just made top pair but dont think, it can bet for value, or he could have a busted draw like 87 and decide to give up. So I think, I am jamming here for value trying to get hero called mainly by AX or maybe a hand like KK/JJ, which could also play like this. [/QUOTE]
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$55 dollar NL HE MTT: Power path last step
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