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Poker Strategy
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Tournament Hand Analysis
$5 NL HE STT: T high flush on a monotone board
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[QUOTE="300HPGOD, post: 6579005, member: 305911"] You play this hand, imo, like you have the hand you have minus a diamond. You bet both flop and turn like you have an overpair to the board (which I am not saying is wrong but just setting up my point) and then we check river (which I like btw) so everything we do in this hand makes it look to villain like we have 88-QQ with no diamond. Cant assume villain is thinking at all but if they are would they jam a big diamond on the river if they feel like you dont have one? They would want a call and bet smaller (unless they are intentionally making their bet look like a bluff which if they are good is possible, but I discount it in this hand without knowing any more info) so I discount bigger diamonds here especially since I also feel J high flush is not tearing it in here. I could be wrong but I think 10 high flush is good here and villain most likely has a hand like 88 or 99 but may or may not have the diamond (no diamond makes more sense). So even though in game I would fold some of these since thats just a weakness of mine, if I took the time to think this hand through in game I think I would call this river. side note... I dont like your turn bet sizing here. I do think its a bet because there will be some check behinds on turn when villain floated flop with Ax or broadway cards and then they get to see river for free. They also could have one diamond cards as well on the turn that we can get value from and would not want to check to and let them see river cheaply. I just like a bet smaller than yours but still makes them draw against the odds. Interested to hear what you think looking back on the turn and if you like your sizing. [/QUOTE]
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$5 NL HE STT: T high flush on a monotone board
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