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Poker Strategy
Tournament Poker
Tournament Hand Analysis
$5.50 NL HE MTT: 77 in multy-way pot
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[QUOTE="fundiver199, post: 7144028, member: 397965"] First of all we are never just calling here for 30% of our chips and allowing the BB into the pot, so its a jam or fold spot. According to your other hand history the starting stack is 50k, and the all-in player has a $5,94 bounty, which is then worth at least 60k chips at this stage. If the original raiser comes along, you can also win his $4,93 bounty, which is worth at least another 50k chips. And I think, we need to assume, he almost always call, because he can also win the $5,94 bounty. For sake of simplicity we can assume, that BB fold. It does not matter than much, because if he call, we are usually flipping with him in a side pot. He only has 88+ 3,5% of the time, and occationally he might even call with hands, we dominate, because he want to win 3 bounties. So lets just ignore BB and assume, he fold, which will also be the most common outcome, if we jam. Now we can pull out Equilab and assign them some ranges. The all-in player should be on a tight range, because he need to expect, that he almost always get action and often multiway action, since he has a juicy bounty, which everyone can win. Lets say he jam 6% of hands. Lets also say, the original raiser open 16% of hands. That seems realistic with 6 players behind him. Just to make the math easy we can say, you are risking 100k to win 300k plus bounties worth 100k so 400k all in all. This means, you need 25% equity in Chip EV. According to Equilab you have 26%. So its not a big deal either way. Personally I tend to take close spots in PKOs to try to build a big stack, but its also ok to pass on this one and fold. [/QUOTE]
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Tournament Hand Analysis
$5.50 NL HE MTT: 77 in multy-way pot
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