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Poker Strategy
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Tournament Hand Analysis
$25 NL HE MTT: Deep run, Ako got backdoor flushdraw on turn
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[QUOTE="fundiver199, post: 6430034, member: 397965"] Preflop Unless the opponents are completely terrible, we dont want to use staggered bet sizing and raise big with our strong hands and small with marginal hands, that we dont want to stack off preflop. So your sizing is correct. Its not optimal for your exact hand, but not giving away the strenght of your hand will increase your long term EV against all but the worst players. Flop I like your check. If stacks were much deeper, it would be a closer decision, but here the SPR is only is a little over 2, and we dont have any profitable plan, unless they both fold. Turn I think, this one is much closer, because they have showed weakness by checking, and now you have a draw to the nuts in case, you are behind. If you go for a delayed C-bet, you will need to get it in, if someone raise though. If you bet half pot, you would get 2:1 on a jam, and you have 9 outs to a flush plus 6 partial outs to top pair, and sometimes you might have the best hand already, if they are bluffing. So bet-fold is not an option now. I do have a slight preference for your choise of checking again though. You could have the best hand already, so making them fold is not all that valuable. especially because any diamond will give you the nuts. Lets say for instance someone has T8. Then Jd will give them a straight, but it will be no good, because you now have a flush. So equity denial is less important, when you have a flushdraw. When BTN bet, it should be a pretty polarized range. It makes no sense for him to check back a hand like QJ on the flop and then bet it now. So his value range should be two pair or better, and then he can also have a lot of bluffs. Raising against such a range makes no sense, so check-calling is definitely better than check-jamming. Turn You improved to top pair, but if his range on the turn was two pair or better and then bluffs, it makes no sense to donk bet for value, because you are mostly getting called by hands, that beat you. Maybe he can have the naked K of hearts, that he was bluffing with on the turn, and that exact hand will most likely call. But it might also bet for value if checked to, and by checking you allow him to continue bluffing. If someone is the chip leader and has a 17% 3-bet, there can be a lot of bluffs in his range, so the best way to get paid is to continue your passive line and let him hang himself. [/QUOTE]
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$25 NL HE MTT: Deep run, Ako got backdoor flushdraw on turn
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