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£150 NL HE MTT: Bad river call?
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[QUOTE="fundiver199, post: 7068667, member: 397965"] Preflop I think, this is a pretty mandatory 3-bet with a caller in between, but your sizing is to small. You went to 3X, and this price in the original opener to continue with almost his entire range, plus the guy in between also get priced in to continue a lot. I would have gone to at least 4,5X or 27k. Flop and turn Seem like pretty standard value bets. Your sizing seem fine setting it up for a river jam on a clean card. River This was not a clean card though, so first thing to decide is, if we can still jam for value. And its probably a little optimistic, since there are some more hands, you lose to now. I will say though, that straights and boats are probably far less common, than you might think. AQ was just a gutshot, and was most likely folded on the turn. So was most likely TT, which was only third pair, and does he even open hands like KJo, KTo or 44 from UTG 9-handed? Thats up for debate, and if not his only boat is actually JJ, since KJs and KTs are not even possible, when you hold Kd in your hand. Also with the J and T of hearts on the board, his realistic flushes are only AX and KQ, since he likely dont open small suited connectors from UTG, and even if he does, it only add a few more combos like 98 and 87 of hearts. With this range breakdown I think, the deciding factor is, that you dont hold A of hearts in your hand, because the nut flush is really a large percent of the combos, you lose to. Because you dont have this very relevant blocker, I would check, and without some kind of read or history my default would be to fold, if he jam, which he essentially did. For this call to make money you need an opponent, who will turn pairs into a bluff, or maybe bet for value with another AK, so that you are sometimes chopping. With that being said starting with only 45BB this hand is just a set-up, and I dont think, anyone can really blame you for getting stacked. If you had gone larger preflop, it would likely have been a 2-street hand preflop, and he had you already on the flop. Or if the river had been clean, you would have jammed and value owned yourself rather than calling him off. If he had opened from late position, it would also be fairly standard for him to 4-bet JJ, and then you get it in with AK, and the result is still the same. So while the river is a good hand reading exercise, this is not one, I would beat myself up over to much. [/QUOTE]
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£150 NL HE MTT: Bad river call?
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