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Poker Strategy
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Tournament Hand Analysis
$11 NL HE MTT: Bad play or simply unlucky?
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[QUOTE="fundiver199, post: 6795369, member: 397965"] Preflop The easiest way to play this hand is to jam. If some of the players in the blinds cover you, you are 24BB effective against them, which is a bit deep. But the far more important player is UTG, and you are only 20BB effective against him, which is a completely fine rejam stack depth with an ante. I would not 3-bet small, so the other option is to flat, like you did, but the problem is, that invites the blinds into the pot. And TT is tough to play on many boards, because there are going to be overcards, and you will not hit your set all that often. Flop Having Td I would also lean towards a call here, but its close, when you have another player left to act behind you. Even if UTG is bluffing, BB could also have a K, and then you are drawing pretty thin already. You also dont have much stack depth to play the later streets. Turn When BB overcall, I am definitely done with the hand, since it is now very likely, you are behind to at least one of them. Sure the board pairing makes it a bit less likely, they have a K, but it does not make it impossible. You are getting a good price, but how often is UTG bluffing with this sizing, after two players called him on the flop? There is also a risk, that BB might have improved to trips and decide to raise it to protect from the flushdraw. So even though you are getting a good price, I fold here. River Now the flush draw got there, so what is even bluffing with? And often is this kind of sizing used for bluffing? This scream like, you are being milked. And if I somehow called the turn, I still fold now. Results Exactly the kind of hand, I would expect him to show up with most of the time. And no you should not turn your hand into a bluff by raising the river. You dont have enough stack left behind, and he is most likely not folding trips. Instead you should have jammed preflop, or as played folded turn. KQo cant call a jam preflop for 20BB after opening UTG, so by jamming you deny him a lot of equity. And if he does make a bad call, you are flipping with 55% equity, which is also fine. [/QUOTE]
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$11 NL HE MTT: Bad play or simply unlucky?
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