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Poker Strategy
Tournament Poker
Tournament Hand Analysis
$109 NL HE MTT: Final table, 4 left Sb,vs BB, gross hand
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[QUOTE="300HPGOD, post: 6720632, member: 305911"] This is a good hand to post since this spot happens a lot deep in tournaments not necessarily the final table but even 50-60 to go with everyone having a stack of 20-30 BBs which is odd enough to play but then also people can tighten up so you get blind vs blind seemingly a bit more often. I always put disclaimers on my posts when I feel they are warranted and here one is... I suck blind vs blind so keep that in mind with my thoughts below Pre: I like raising here (villain dependent, of course) but not sure with 26 BBs effective and 4 left that I would limp jam due to ICM although I do know the play is +EV. Maybe this is why I suck in these spots but just couldnt jam here on ICM alone so I prefer raising over limping in and then calling (me anyway, I understand limping if you are going to jam), assuming villain will raise most of the time but that is also villain dependent . Flop: I think this is the point in the hand where we need to build a plan and there is one of two ways I see going here. 1. Villain thinks Im wide, I know they are wide (usually even on these stacks) and if the flop didnt help me then it has a decent chance of helping them and they arent folding a pair here too often unless I really put pressure on them (and thats not even a given). Therefore, check and see what happens and evaluate based on sizing, what I know on villain, etc. 2. Villain has ICM pressure and tournament survival pressure and even though they are near the chip cellar as far as the stacks go they dont want to piss away their 26 BBs so if we pepper them with bets here we can possibly get 3x, 4x, and some small pairs like 22, 55, 66 to start to worry we have a pair and fold. Here is where we need to choose one of those options and if we decide to check then its option 1, If we bet then its option 2. I think either way has merits/drawbacks, its just important to know in this hand that whatever we do flop is going to highly dictate our turn action. If I had to choose here I think I would choose option 1 and check. Turn: As played we bet flop (which should have been smaller imo because we would then be planning to double barrel and wouldnt really think villain is folding to 1 bet, its the second bet that has the potential fold equity so if we go smaller flop then we can bet turn a greater % of pot for cheaper and the greater % of pot is what we are hoping generates the fold) so I would be betting here. I think you need to go bigger here since you want a fold badly and know you arent tripling here (I dont think, maybe Im wrong on that?) so I would bet more than just 36% of pot. When they just call here, Im done with this hand. River: As said I would be done here so checking which is the same as throwing our cards in the muck a huge % of the time but I dont think tripling gets us there if they didnt fold turn. I dont get your bet here on river as to why you are doing it, what you hope happens, etc. Its too small for a blocker bet and its really only a bet sizing to induce action... which is exactly what you dont want to have happen here. Checking is far better than betting this amount and quite honestly this river bet sizing is one of the last sizings I would choose out of the spectrum. [/QUOTE]
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$109 NL HE MTT: Final table, 4 left Sb,vs BB, gross hand
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