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Tournament Hand Analysis
$10 NL HE MTT: Learn from the opponents - how to (not) play a big combodraw
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[QUOTE="fundiver199, post: 7129904, member: 397965"] Continuing with the theme of learning from others mistakes, here is an example of how to not play a big combodraw. Ignoring preflop it would have been reasonable for 87 of spades to jam, when the action got to him on the flop, since there was only a little more than a pot sized bet left, and at this point he has fold equity and two chances to hit one of his 15 outs. However as played, when he face a jam and a call on the turn, he need to make a disciplined fold. This might sound crazy, because he is getting 3:1 and only need 25% equity, and with 15 outs he should have more than this right? Wrong. The first and most obvious problem is, that the board is now paired, so he could be drawing dead already, which he actually was. But its more than just this. Because of the multiway action there will be some non-zero percentage of the time, where he is against a made hand and a better draw, in which case a lot of his outs are dead. Lets say one opponent has ATo for top pair, and the other have QJ of spades. Then he only have 14% equity. I plugged the hand into Equilab, and against two pretty wide but realistic ranges, he have 20% equity, which is far less than the 25%, he needs to make just a break even call. [URL unfurl="true"]https://www.cardschat.com/replayer/?hand=725vsJTAN[/URL] [/QUOTE]
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$10 NL HE MTT: Learn from the opponents - how to (not) play a big combodraw
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