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Poker Strategy
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Tournament Hand Analysis
$1.10 NL HE MTT: Facing an all-in bet under ICM pressure (Final table)
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[QUOTE="fundiver199, post: 6723742, member: 397965"] With a stack to pot ratio of around 3 we should generally not be looking to fold AA, unless the runout is absolutely terrible like 4 to a straight or flush. This board was somewhat in between. Not the worst but certainly also not the best. Its not so much, that there ended up being 3 hearts on the table, especially not when we have Ah blocking a decent amount of the flush combos. Its more that top pair changed on the river making it unlikely, the opponent might jam a worse hand for value. For the opponent to end up with top pair, they would have needed to call a big bet on the flop out of position with just overcards. Not even a BDFD was possible, since it was Ks, that came on the river. So they kind of never have that, and if they have hands like AT or JJ-QQ, which we beat, are they really jamming the river, considering that we have a lot of hands like AK in our range, that just got there? Probably not, so because the board ran out 64T-5-K as opposed to 64K-5-T or 64T-5-4, they dont really have any value jams, that we beat, which mean, we are purely bluff catching. Which still dont mean, we should fold. But it does at least make it a lot closer, and against some more nitty opponents, maybe we can actually get away from the aces here. However seeing that the opponent called a 3-bet out of position with 87 offsuit, this is not the kind of opponent, where I would have regrets after calling and losing. [/QUOTE]
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$1.10 NL HE MTT: Facing an all-in bet under ICM pressure (Final table)
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