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Message: [QUOTE="ChickenArise, post: 6387372, member: 308613"] BELMONT 2022 WORKSHEET Race 1 - WIN CONFIDENCE RATING 9 We have horse that outclasses the rest of the field in (7) WIN FOR GOLD Race 2 - WIN CONFIDENCE RATING 7 (6) THREE JOKERS , (4) STRONG QUALITY Race 3 - WIN CONFIDENCE RATING 8 (5) ECHO ZULU, (4) MATAREYA Race 4 - WIN CONFIDENCE RATING 7 (2) REGAL GLORY - looking for at least 2-1 to make it worth betting. Race 5 - WIN CONFIDENCE RATING 3 (1) LONE ROCK, (3) WARRANT, (7) FEARLESS - I am passing this race Race 6 - WIN CONFIDENCE RATING 9 (1) JACK CHRISTOPHER Race 7 - WIN CONFIDENCE RATING 7 (4) CLAIRIERE - should get good value and price Race 8 - WIN CONFIDENCE RATING 6 (4) CASA CREED - classy horse with speed but the large field shakes my confidence a bit Race 9 - WIN CONFIDENCE RATING 10 (1) FLIGHTLINE - possibly the best horse we have seen emerge in the last decade. Wont get a good price but should dust this field. Race 10 - WIN CONFIDENCE RATING 2 (3) TOKYO GOLD - we have a 30-1 morning line LONGSHOT that will have to beat 2 major contenders. (9) SANTIN is clearly the horse to beat and (10) CHANNEL MAKER should be right behind him but TOKYO GOLD has given us 2 solid performances earning an Equibase 110 speed figure at this track albeit last year. Demuro rode him to victory in the Grade 2 Italian Derby last year and will mount him today. The horse is looking to find that winning form again and Demuro could spark him. Race 11 - THE BELMONT STAKES - WIN CONFIDENCE RATING 6 (6) MO DONEGAL - Got a bad trip in the Derby and still managed to close on RICH STRIKE in the end, just too little too late. At a mile and a half he might have caught him. The masses speak against closers in this race but I expect him to run the race in more of a stalker style and wont have to contend with the blistering fractions we saw in the Derby. Race 12 - WIN CONFIDENCE RATING 4 - looking for a switch to the dirt track else will pass (7) FLOKIS FLIGHT, (5) ZUZUDINI to bounce back off a poor performance Race 13 - WIN CONFIDENCE RATING 6 (7) HAPPY HILL LIL, (12)PALACE GOSSIP [/QUOTE]

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