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[QUOTE="IntenseHeat, post: 2465751, member: 92488"]
There is a hole in this logic. The flaw in this thinking is in the fact that the house edge actually comes from the players acting before the dealer and the fact that if a player busts, their bet is immediately forfeited. That is to say that the player would lose their bet to the house, before the dealer acts, and regardless of the outcome of the dealer's hand. It's like saying that you have to score first. If you don't score, then the dealer automatically wins without having to do anything. But if you do score, the dealer then has a chance to tie or beat your score.

The dealer doesn't actually make any choices in the playing of their hand. Instead, the dealers actions are governed completely by the rules. Where knowing the value of the next card to come might affect our choice to hit or stand, it would have no affect on the way the dealer's hand is played. If we knew for sure that the next cards would bust us, we would choose to stand right there. The dealer on the other hand, must draw on all hands under 17. The way it is printed on the table is that the dealer must draw on 16 and stand on 17. So if the dealer's count was 15, and you had stood on 12, the dealer would still have to draw, even if they knew without doubt that the next card was a face card that would bust them. If the count to the dealer were 17 and you had stood on 18, the dealer would have to stand there and lose, even if they knew for a fact that the next card in the deck were a 3.
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