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[QUOTE="paradocks, post: 326112, member: 4137"]
This really is just too ridiculous to continue, but me being the sucker I am thought I'd have a shot at it.

Diablo: no-one is saying you're wrong about the fact that the odds dont change, obviously. If you are dealt pocket aces for the first hand you play in then the next hand you play in you still have the same chance of picking up those aces again. I don't see how there can even be a debate about such a subject, everyone knows the answer.

Perhaps if I can make a small example going back to the dice thing, now everyone knows the chance of rolling a 6 is 1/6, because there are 6 possibilities...
you can roll a 1, or a 2, or a 3, or a 4, or a 5, or a 6 .. right?
So let's go back to something, the chance of rolling a 6 twice in a row are 1/36. You don't 'forget multiplying' because lets look at the simple inflated process, As with the first roll when it was a 1/6, now there are 30 other possibilities you could've rolled... let's go over these to make absolutely sure there is no confusion.

All 36 possibilities of two dice rolls:

1,1 - 1,2 - 1,3 - 1,4 - 1,5 - 1,6 - 2,1 - 2,2 - 2,3 - 2,4 - 2,5 - 2,6 - 3,1 - 3,2 - 3,3 - 3,4 - 3,5 - 3,6 - 4,1 - 4,2 - 4,3 - 4,4 - 4,5 - 4,6 - 5,1 - 5,2 - 5,3 - 5,4 - 5,5 - 5,6 - 6,1 - 6,2 - 6,3 - 6,4 - 6,5 - 6,6

So you see, the 36th possibilty we have is two sixes, ie. a 1/36 chance.
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