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Message: [QUOTE="300HPGOD, post: 6107047, member: 305911"] Villain to start this hand has about 63 BBs which makes a difference to me. I am not one to think everyone who plays with a shorter stack in cash is a fish but they to tend to want to get their chips in the middle so I do believe players with 50-70 BBs will go with their hands much more often than someone with 100BBs+ to start the hand. Pre flop I think you should be raising to 3x and not 2.4x at all levels 10NL and below, thats just my opinion but you will get more value in the long run as long as your hand selection pre flop is correct. I would hate that flop but I would not be going anywhere to the raise just yet. I would think that I could be beat already and most likely maybe am but would still not be folding. The 7 on the turn I think is a very good card. Its a set blocker, now gives us two pair so we are beating 109, and also the flush did not come in. It also gives us a few outs against possible straight that villain has (doubt they have the straight but possible). I would be calling the bet on the turn not loving things but I would not be folding here yet. River is nothing burger. I would not jam here in our shoes because than all hands we beat outside of 109 are just folding and maybe even 109 finds a fold. I like letting the villain bluff here. I will say I dont hate your river play if your intention on the bet was to induce a bluff from it (since your bet looks blockerish and weak) and then call the jam that occurs. Otherwise I would just check. As played you are getting about 4 to 1 on a call which means we have to win 1 in 5 times to break even. We lose to 107, 97, 1010, 99, J8, and 86. 77 and 44 I highly discount especially since if villain hit quads on turn they might be afraid of scaring you with another barrel plus getting to the river with 44 there would be ridiculous by villain. So does villain 80% of the time have 107, 97, 1010, 99, J8, and 86? I would doubt that as I would think there are definitely missed draws in here as well as 109 that make up more than 20% so I would be calling the river here. I still would think Im losing over 50% of the time with calling but should be winning more than 20% of the time. [/QUOTE]

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