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€400 NL HE Full Ring: Should you play this OESD aggressively?
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[QUOTE="primrose, post: 7151041, member: 1036998"] In this hand, I have :4s4: :5s4: UTG on a 9-handed table. I was slightly tilted so I'd have opened this no matter what, but I actually also think this open is good regardless because there was not a lot of 3betting on this table -- for the most part, everyone was happy to call preflop and play a lot of multiway pots. I open to 12 (3BB). UTG+2, LJ, BN, and BB all call, so we're 5way. Flop comes :3d4: :6h4: :9d4: (Pot=62). I'm never leading here. It checks around to the BN, who makes it 36. BB folds and it's my turn. My stack was just under 400 before this hand. BN covers. BN is a losing(?) reg who plays pretty unpredictably, but very much on the splashy side. However he also does this kind of thing a lot particularly on boards with low cards; I see him raise and bet this kind of texture all the time. So on the one hand he's not a great player to try to bluff, but on the other, he could be weak here. It goes both ways. I think this is a genuinely difficult decision between calling, raising, and even folding. (We only have 6 clean outs since the diamonds bring in a flush, and there are still players behind us.) I'm still not sure what the most +EV play is. I think not a lot of people would fold, but that may be a more professional decision than calling, especially since we're also in the worst position for the remaining hand. And note that we've only invested 12€; we don't have to continue that often to make this open +EV. But I decide for the raise. I make it 110, hoping to get a fold here. It folds around to the BN, who, after a bit of thinking, calls. Dang. Turn is the :qd4: (Pot=282, Stack≈260). What now? Do we go for it? Decision: [spoiler]YES OF COURSE WE GO FOR IT THIS IS A FRIGGIN DIAMOND, LET'S GO! (I don't think you can do the raise on the Flop and then not follow through if the flush comes in. Before we were representing only overpairs and sets; now we're representing overpairs, sets, and suited connectors and suited broadways and suited Aces. That's a tough thing to call against for Villain... unless he lead a flush draw on the Flop -- which unfortunately is entirely possible -- in which case we're getting always getting called and are drawing dead. Still, you have to jam.)[/spoiler] Rest of the hand: [spoiler]No rest, villain folded. Well, my bluffs can't always go wrong![/spoiler] [/QUOTE]
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€400 NL HE Full Ring: Should you play this OESD aggressively?
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