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[QUOTE="fundiver199, post: 6140493, member: 397965"]
I agree with that. But I think, the much more important point is, that a lot of players at 2NL are level 1 thinkers. They are not yet at a point, where they even think about, what we represent, or at least not on a deeper level like putting us on a range. So if we assume that, we just end up leveling ourselfes.

And even if they are good hand readers, then Heros line with the delayed turn bet dont represent much other than 55 or 99 for value. AX would probably have bet the flop when checked to, and in many cases also 3-bet preflop. So if I am Heros opponents in this hand, I am not putting him on a ton of AX. At the same time a heartdraw developed on the turn, which would be very tempting for Hero to use as a semibluff, and when that heartdraw missed, I would do a lot of hero calling on the river.

So Hero is taking a line here, which good players will not give a lot of credit to, and in top of that he had showdown value, and he is playing 2NL, where the majority of his opponents are notoriously bad at folding anything other than busted draws on the river. And for all those reasons I think, this is a bad river bet.
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