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Message: [QUOTE="fundiver199, post: 6200293, member: 397965"] Preflop Standard open and as long as you dont vary your sizing depending on hand strenght 2,5BB and 3,0BB are both totally fine for this limit. Flop You flopped a monster draw, so a C-bet here is actually for value, since you can get called by a lot of hands, that are behind in equity. You still dont mind to get folds though, so I would probably pick a larger sizing like 10c rather than 7c. This also build the pot and allow you to bet larger, if you make a straight or flush. Turn You improved to third pair, but with only one more card to come you are no longer an equity favourite against better made hands, and they are also unlikely to fold. So I dont think, betting here accomplish much, and I am totally on board with checking back. River All your draws missed, but you accidentally backed into trips, and now he leads out for a fairly large size. I think, we are obviously not folding here, since he could easily be doing this with a worse hand like top pair for value. But the question is, can we actually raise here for value? Against this sizing my real time decision would most likely be to just call. It protects me from potentially getting 3-bet and have to make some really gross decision (most likely fold), and I dont think, it leaves a lot of money on the table if any. But lets go about it in a more math based way and count the combos, we think, he will get to the river with this way, lead out for a large sizing AND then also call our raise. Combos we lose to: KJ (12), K9 (4), Q9 (3), T9 (3), 97 (3) = 23 Combos we can get value from: 98 (4), AQ (12), KQ (12), QJ (9) = 37 I did not include QQ, TT, 77, QT, because I think, we would have heard from those hands on the flop. I also did not inlude J8. This is because, I think, J8 is sometimes folded on the flop, and I also think, he would sometimes lead the turn, if he made a straight. So by counting all 12 combos of KJ I have kind of taken into consideration, he might sometimes have J8 as well. Finally I did not include A9, because I think, its folded on the flop, except for A9 of spades, which he cant have, because we have 9 of spades in our hand. So all in all this is probably a fine spot to go for a thin value raise, if we think, he is taking top pair for this sizing on the river, and that he wont be able to bet-fold it. It all depends on, what kind of range we assign him of course, so slightly altering the assumptions, I made above, can make it a just call spot. In for instance we think, he cant have AQ, because that would have been 3-bet pre, now we are already much closer to not making any money by raising. [/QUOTE]

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