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Message: [QUOTE="300HPGOD, post: 5835653, member: 305911"] To me this is a spot where we have to range our villain on the flop and probably stick with what we put them on meaning if we think they dont have a flush on the flop we stick with that thinking and if we think they can have a flush on the flop we dont change that thinking on the turn. Also we have to decide on the flop that if we hit a flush later on will it be good or not. On this flop my thinking whether it is right or wrong would be villain usually does not have a flush (due to bet sizing) and probably has one diamond which is most likely the Ace or king of diamonds. With that thinking I would act as though if another diamond comes I am probably beat. Therefore, calling on the flop which I dont mind would have to be because we have a pair and not because we have a pair and a flush draw. Knowing those thoughts then with turn bringing a set, I want to end the hand here even though I would be foregoing some possible value. My thinking would be that I have the best hand but it is still vulnerable and what it is vulnerable to will not pay me off on the river if it misses. I would be having two paths to ending the hand on the turn in my head in game, one is to bet very large to get a fold or have the draw pay me, the other would be to check raise. If the villain has a one diamond hand I think they check back a lot here. I like the route you took by leading out and leading out large but I think (I can only guess since its hard to know how we would think in the moment) I would bet huge here and do something unorthodox. Maybe an overbet lead here. Maybe it gets the villain to tool out with a draw as well but I am looking for a fold. My reasoning again is that missed draws wont pay me on the river, probably wont bluff to me (but could) and if they get there then I have to put myself in a position to fold a set on the river. As played on the river I dont like checking here even though I would think I am very likely beat. I would be bet fold here and probably bet something like 33-40% of pot. Yes that is giving up something when I really think Im beat but its possible here I was wrong all along and they call behind with worse. I dont hate your play by any means and think it was a very good fold just think I like bet folding a bit better. [/QUOTE]

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