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[QUOTE="eetenor, post: 6095715, member: 385063"]
Thank you for posting.

The number one mistake the average player makes is calling too often. We compensate for that by bluffing less and big betting our nut like hands.

So the data points we need to profitably bluff vs average Villain players are:

1 V is capable of folding.
2 V has weak nut range on the board runout.

The Villain min raised OOP what range does that?
Could the V have the nuts on this flop?
Would we raise this flop action with the nuts?

When V calls the flop raise and we know V do not like to fold and as shown V could have the nuts and we pick up equity the +EV play is what?

V calls turn- V do not like to fold- why do we think they will fold river?
What data our we basing our 3 barrel bluff on?
If the V has a naked 8 they will fold to any bet on the river why did we choose to shove?
We need value bets usually 2-1 value to bluff in our shove range on this river which means we expect our V to call. What range would you expect V to call with?
Is the call range mostly made hands? Too many for a bluff shove to be profitable?

Hope this helps
:):)
[/QUOTE]

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